Okay, truthfully, I'm not totally without fear. Bad weather in Cleveland and Detroit, Repug fraud, and a possible Bushmen coup could prevent us from ending the nightmare that is Bushco, Inc., but short of such scenarios, I'm feeling pretty good. Well, good in the sense that we can finally get some sanity back in the WH to work on the incredible mess "the adults" have created. Victories are measured in the wake of Bushworld. So much for negative nuance and onto the predictions.
Kerry should win the popular vote by 2.5-5 percentage points. He will crack 50%. I can see scenarios in which Kerry wins with anywhere from 272 to 330+ electoral votes.
The Senate: Dem pickups in AK, IL, CO, KY (upset special); Repug pickup in SC.
Dream win: PA
NIghtmare loss: LA without a run-off